New data released last week from the CDC:
- 22M infections in the US so far
- 98,000 hospitalizations
- 3900 deaths
Therefore:
- 0.445% of the population who gets swine flu requires hospitalization, or about 1 in 220
- 0.0177% of people who get swine flu die from it, or about 1 in 5600
Children only:
- 8M infections
- 36,000 hospitalizations
- 540 deaths
Therefore:
- 0.45% of children who get swine flu require hospitalization, or about 1 in 220
- 0.00675% of children who get swine flu die from it, or about 1 in 15,000
I wonder how they come up the 22M and 8M. I was sick with something bad last week. I thought, “no way it’s swine flu.” But I looked up the symptoms for swine flu, and I actually met the symptoms. (Which are basically, “it’s like the flu”). It wasn’t until seeing these numbers I thought, “well maybe I did have swine flu”. There are 304M people in the US, so 7% of the population has already gotten it.
If you go through the old CDC data it appears the flu typically peaks in February, so we might be a ways from hitting the peak of H1N1.